StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Notts County v Chesterfield FC

Matchstart: 2026-05-15 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Notts County 0–0 Chesterfield FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Notts County (Hemma)

Prognos 40.56%2.47rättvist odds
EV -3.47%
Fördel -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.22%40.59%40.61%41.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.81%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Borta)

Prognos 30.02%3.33rättvist odds
EV -1.52%
Fördel -0.463%
Kelly -0.666%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.13%30.07%29.91%31.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.053.053.2835.71%32.74%32.79%30.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.42%3.40rättvist odds
EV -2.93%
Fördel -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.74%29.35%29.48%30.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.77%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Notts County (Hemma): 40.56%; Chesterfield FC (Borta): 30.02%; Oavgjort: 29.42%. För Chesterfield FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.33. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.28, med väntevärdet -1.52%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.15%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV -1.52%E -0.463%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.74%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 18:50
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.93%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:50
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:19
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:49
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.77%E -4.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.80%E -5.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-05-15 18:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-15 18:55