Idioma:Português
Notts County v Chesterfield FC
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Notts County (Local)
Previsão 40.56%2.47odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.22%40.59%40.61%41.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.81%43.86%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Previsão 30.02%3.33odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.463%
Kelly -0.666%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.28
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.13%30.07%29.91%31.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.053.2835.71%32.74%32.79%30.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 29.42%3.40odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.74%29.35%29.48%30.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.77%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Notts County (Local): 40.56%; Chesterfield FC (Visitante): 30.02%; Empate: 29.42%. Para Chesterfield FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.28, com valor esperado de -1.52%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.15%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV -1.52%E -0.463%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.74%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.93%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.77%E -4.90%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.80%E -5.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |