A Escola das Odds

Notts County v Chesterfield FC

Início: 2026-05-15 19:00 UTC

Final: Notts County 0–0 Chesterfield FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Notts County (Local)

Previsão 40.56%2.47odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.22%40.59%40.61%41.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.81%43.86%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Previsão 30.02%3.33odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.463%
Kelly -0.666%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.13%30.07%29.91%31.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.053.2835.71%32.74%32.79%30.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.42%3.40odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.74%29.35%29.48%30.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.77%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.15%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV -1.52%E -0.463%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.74%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 18:50
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.93%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 17:35
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:50
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 18:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:20
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:20
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:19
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:49
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:55
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:05
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.77%E -4.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 17:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.80%E -5.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-05-15 18:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-15 18:55