L’École des cotes

Notts County v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 19:00 UTC

Score final : Notts County 0–0 Chesterfield FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 40.56%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.22%40.59%40.61%41.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.81%43.86%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.463%
Kelly -0.666%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.13%30.07%29.91%31.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.053.2835.71%32.74%32.79%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.42%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.74%29.35%29.48%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.77%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:50
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.15%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV -1.52%E -0.463%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.74%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 18:50
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.93%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 17:35
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:50
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 18:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:20
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:20
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:19
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:49
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:55
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:05
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.77%E -4.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 17:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.80%E -5.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-05-15 18:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-15 18:55