Язык:Русский
Notts County v Chesterfield FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Notts County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 40.56%2.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.47%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.22%40.59%40.61%41.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.81%43.86%42.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chesterfield FC (Гости)
Прогноз 30.02%3.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.52%
Преимущество -0.463%
Kelly -0.666%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.28
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.13%30.07%29.91%31.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.053.053.2835.71%32.74%32.79%30.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.42%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.93%
Преимущество -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.74%29.35%29.48%30.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.77%31.75%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Notts County (Хозяева): 40.56%; Chesterfield FC (Гости): 30.02%; Ничья: 29.42%. Для исхода «Chesterfield FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.33. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.28, математическое ожидание — -1.52%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.15%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV -1.52%E -0.463%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.74%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.93%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.77%E -4.90%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.80%E -5.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |