La escuela de los momiosNotts County v Chesterfield FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 40.56%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.22%40.59%40.61%41.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.81%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Predicción 30.02%3.33momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.463%
Kelly -0.666%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.13%30.07%29.91%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.053.2835.71%32.74%32.79%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.42%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.74%29.35%29.48%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.77%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.15%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV -1.52%E -0.463%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.74%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.93%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:49 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.74%E -3.89%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.77%E -4.90%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.80%E -5.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:55 |