Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Barrow
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 66.59%1.50fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -9.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.56%66.60%66.56%69.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.58%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barrow (Visit)
Prediction 12.36%8.09fair odd
EV +3.85%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.521%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 8.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.09%12.37%12.34%13.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.417.338.4014.81%13.50%13.65%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.05%4.75fair odd
EV +5.23%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.43%21.03%21.10%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.405.0025.00%22.73%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 66.59%; Barrow (Visit): 12.36%; Draw: 21.05%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +5.23%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.068% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -10.10%E -7.48%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -3.57%E -0.457%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.04I 12.44%NM 11.82%EV -0.599%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.79%EV -3.82%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -6.04%E -0.795%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 12:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.75%EV -4.77%E -3.34%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.72%E -3.35%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.82%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.67% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |