StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Milton Keynes Dons v Barrow

Matchstart: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Milton Keynes Dons (Hemma)

Prognos 66.59%1.50rättvist odds
EV -4.11%
Fördel -2.85%
Kelly -9.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.56%66.60%66.56%69.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.58%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Barrow (Borta)

Prognos 12.36%8.09rättvist odds
EV +3.85%
Fördel +0.459%
Kelly +0.521%
Tillväxt +0.020%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.09%12.37%12.34%13.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.757.417.338.4014.81%13.50%13.65%11.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.05%4.75rättvist odds
EV +5.23%
Fördel +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
Tillväxt +0.068%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.43%21.03%21.10%22.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.404.405.0025.00%22.73%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Milton Keynes Dons (Hemma): 66.59%; Barrow (Borta): 12.36%; Oavgjort: 21.05%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.75. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.23%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +5.23%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.068%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -10.10%E -7.48%K -28.86%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -3.57%E -0.457%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.82%EV -0.599%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.79%EV -3.82%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -6.04%E -0.795%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:39
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 12:29
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.75%EV -4.77%E -3.34%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 10:00
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.72%E -3.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.82%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.67%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-04-03 13:50