La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Milton Keynes Dons v Barrow
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Predicción 66.59%1.50momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -2.85%
Kelly -9.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.56%66.60%66.56%69.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.58%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barrow (Visitante)
Predicción 12.36%8.09momio equitativo
EV +3.85%
Ventaja +0.459%
Kelly +0.521%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.09%12.37%12.34%13.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.757.417.338.4014.81%13.50%13.65%11.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.05%4.75momio equitativo
EV +5.23%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.43%21.03%21.10%22.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.404.405.0025.00%22.73%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +5.23%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.068% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -10.10%E -7.48%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -3.57%E -0.457%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.04I 12.44%NM 11.82%EV -0.599%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.79%EV -3.82%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -6.04%E -0.795%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 12:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.75%EV -4.77%E -3.34%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 10:00 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.72%E -3.35%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.82%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.67% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |