مدرسة الاحتمالات

Milton Keynes Dons v Barrow

البداية: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.59%1.50السعر العادل
EV -4.11%
الأفضلية -2.85%
Kelly -9.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.56%66.60%66.56%69.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.58%71.43%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barrow (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.36%8.09السعر العادل
EV +3.85%
الأفضلية +0.459%
Kelly +0.521%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.09%12.37%12.34%13.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.757.417.338.4014.81%13.50%13.65%11.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.05%4.75السعر العادل
EV +5.23%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
النمو +0.068%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.43%21.03%21.10%22.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.404.405.0025.00%22.73%22.73%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +5.23%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.068%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:50
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -10.10%E -7.48%K -28.86%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -3.57%E -0.457%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.82%EV -0.599%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.79%EV -3.82%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -6.04%E -0.795%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:10
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:39
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 12:29
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.75%EV -4.77%E -3.34%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 10:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.72%E -3.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.82%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-03 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.67%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-04-03 13:50