L’École des cotes

Milton Keynes Dons v Barrow

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prévision 66.59%1.50cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -9.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.56%66.60%66.56%69.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.58%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barrow (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.36%8.09cote équitable
EV +3.85%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.521%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 8.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.09%12.37%12.34%13.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.757.417.338.4014.81%13.50%13.65%11.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.05%4.75cote équitable
EV +5.23%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.43%21.03%21.10%22.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.405.0025.00%22.73%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +5.23%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.068%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:50
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.13%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.44%EV +3.85%E +0.459%K +0.521%G +0.020%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -1.09%E -0.232%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -10.10%E -7.48%K -28.86%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -3.57%E -0.457%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.19%E -0.694%K -0.887%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.82%EV -0.599%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.79%EV -3.82%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -6.04%E -0.795%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:10
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.51%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.35%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:39
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 12:29
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 12:25
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.45%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.11%E -2.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.75%EV -4.77%E -3.34%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 10:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -5.44%E -3.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -10.37%E -1.43%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.27%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.56%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.46%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.61%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 09:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.77%E -4.84%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -16.55%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.72%E -3.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.43%E -8.60%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.09%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.82%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.67%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-04-03 13:50