Language:English
Harrogate Town v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harrogate Town (Local)
Prediction 24.60%4.06fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%24.54%24.67%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.803.9527.78%26.33%26.32%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 48.92%2.04fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.65%49.00%48.96%50.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.48%3.78fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.46%26.37%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.70%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harrogate Town (Local): 24.60%; Notts County (Visit): 48.92%; Draw: 26.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -2.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.26%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.29%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.00%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 23:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |