La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Harrogate Town v Notts County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Harrogate Town (Local)
Predicción 24.60%4.06momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -0.958%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.27%24.54%24.67%25.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.803.803.9527.78%26.33%26.32%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Notts County (Visitante)
Predicción 48.92%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.60%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.65%49.00%48.96%50.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%26.46%26.37%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.70%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.26%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.29%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.00%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 23:43 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 12:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Everygame | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |