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Harrogate Town v Notts County
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Harrogate Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.60%4.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.83%
Преимущество -0.715%
Kelly -0.958%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.27%24.54%24.67%25.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.803.803.9527.78%26.33%26.32%25.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Notts County (Гости)
Прогноз 48.92%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.60%
Преимущество -2.36%
Kelly -4.84%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.65%49.00%48.96%50.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.48%3.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.04%
Преимущество -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.30%26.46%26.37%28.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.70%28.57%27.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Harrogate Town (Хозяева): 24.60%; Notts County (Гости): 48.92%; Ничья: 26.48%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.78. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.70, математическое ожидание — -2.04%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.26%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.29%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.00%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 23:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |