Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Harrogate Town v Notts County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Harrogate Town (Local)

Prévision 24.60%4.06cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.715%
Kelly -0.958%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.27%24.54%24.67%25.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.803.803.9527.78%26.33%26.32%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.92%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -4.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.65%49.00%48.96%50.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%26.46%26.37%28.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.70%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Harrogate Town (Local) : 24.60% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 48.92% ; Match nul : 26.48%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.70, pour une espérance de -2.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:49
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 09:14
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 09:14
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 08:50
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 08:49
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.26%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:05
Pinnacle🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:50
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.29%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 22:15
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 12:14
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 08:49
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:39
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 22:14
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 22:14
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.00%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-28 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 12:04
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:43
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 22:05
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 22:14
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 22:05
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 22:04
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 12:05
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 12:04
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:04
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-26 08:49
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 01:04
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:00
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 22:05
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-28 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-03-28 02:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-03-28 01:20