A Escola das Odds

Harrogate Town v Notts County

Início: 2026-03-28 12:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Harrogate Town (Local)

Previsão 24.60%4.06odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.715%
Kelly -0.958%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.27%24.54%24.67%25.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.803.803.9527.78%26.33%26.32%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Notts County (Visitante)

Previsão 48.92%2.04odd justa
EV -4.60%
Vantagem -2.36%
Kelly -4.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.65%49.00%48.96%50.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.48%3.78odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.30%26.46%26.37%28.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.70%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:49
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:49
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:50
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:49
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 09:14
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 09:14
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.83%E -0.715%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 09:14
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:09
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 11:55
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 08:49
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 08:50
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 08:49
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.26%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 22:10
Marathon Bet3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:05
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.29%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 22:15
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 12:14
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 08:49
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:39
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 00:09
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 22:14
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 22:14
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.00%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-28 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 12:04
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:43
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 22:05
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 22:14
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 22:14
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 22:05
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 22:04
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 12:05
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 12:04
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:04
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:05
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:04
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:05
BetOnline.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:20
LowVig.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -9.71%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:20
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-26 08:49
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 01:04
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 22:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-28 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-03-28 02:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-03-28 01:20