Language:English
Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 50.34%1.99fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.47%50.31%50.34%53.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.31%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 22.91%4.36fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%22.93%22.87%23.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.014.004.3326.32%24.94%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV +0.282%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.76%26.79%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.423.7532.26%29.22%29.20%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 50.34%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 22.91%; Draw: 26.74%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.282%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.282%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.61%E -0.615%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -2.66%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -8.11%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -3.46%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.84%E -2.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -0.779%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.83%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -4.85%E -2.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.91%E -7.46%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |