L’École des cotes

Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 50.34%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -4.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.47%50.31%50.34%53.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.31%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.91%4.36cote équitable
EV -0.779%
Avantage -0.180%
Kelly -0.234%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.54%22.93%22.87%23.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.014.004.3326.32%24.94%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.74%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.282%
Avantage +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.76%26.79%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.423.7532.26%29.22%29.20%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.282%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.61%E -0.615%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -2.66%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -8.11%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -3.46%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.84%E -2.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -0.779%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:50
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.83%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -4.85%E -2.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.91%E -7.46%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50