La scuola delle quote

Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury Town

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gillingham (Casa)

Previsione 50.34%1.99quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -2.01%
Kelly -4.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.47%50.31%50.34%53.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.31%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shrewsbury Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.91%4.36quota equa
EV -0.779%
Vantaggio -0.180%
Kelly -0.234%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.54%22.93%22.87%23.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.014.004.3326.32%24.94%25.00%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.74%3.74quota equa
EV +0.282%
Vantaggio +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.78%26.76%26.79%28.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.423.423.7532.26%29.22%29.20%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.282%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.61%E -0.615%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -2.66%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -8.11%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -3.46%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.84%E -2.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -0.779%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:50
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.83%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -4.85%E -2.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.91%E -7.46%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50