La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 50.34%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -4.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.47%50.31%50.34%53.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.31%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)
Predicción 22.91%4.36momio equitativo
EV -0.779%
Ventaja -0.180%
Kelly -0.234%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.54%22.93%22.87%23.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.014.004.3326.32%24.94%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.282%
Ventaja +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.76%26.79%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.423.7532.26%29.22%29.20%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.282%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.61%E -0.615%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -2.66%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -8.11%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -3.46%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.84%E -2.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -0.779%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.83%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:50 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -4.85%E -2.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.91%E -7.46%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |