مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury Town

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gillingham (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.34%1.99السعر العادل
EV -3.84%
الأفضلية -2.01%
Kelly -4.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.47%50.31%50.34%53.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.31%54.05%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shrewsbury Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.91%4.36السعر العادل
EV -0.779%
الأفضلية -0.180%
Kelly -0.234%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.54%22.93%22.87%23.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.014.004.3326.32%24.94%25.00%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.74%3.74السعر العادل
EV +0.282%
الأفضلية +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.78%26.76%26.79%28.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.423.423.7532.26%29.22%29.20%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.282%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.61%E -0.615%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -2.66%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -8.11%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -3.46%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.84%E -2.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -0.779%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:50
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.88%E -4.91%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.37%E -4.60%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.83%EV -7.37%E -4.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -4.85%E -2.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -5.35%E -2.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -6.36%E -3.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -6.86%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.91%E -7.46%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50