Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v York City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 33.74%2.96fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.77%33.72%36.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.742.8840.82%37.22%36.50%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
York City (Visit)
Prediction 38.65%2.59fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.40%38.58%38.69%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.432.402.5543.67%41.12%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%27.64%27.60%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 33.74%; York City (Visit): 38.65%; Draw: 27.62%. For York City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -2.83%E -0.983%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.86%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 09:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.96%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.58%EV -11.50%E -5.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |