默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Crewe Alexandra v York City

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Crewe Alexandra 1–1 York City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Crewe Alexandra (主队)

预测 33.74%2.96公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -0.983%
Kelly -1.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布
32.23%33.77%33.72%36.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.692.742.8840.82%37.22%36.50%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

York City (客队)

预测 38.65%2.59公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.570%
Kelly -0.938%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
35.40%38.58%38.69%39.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.292.432.402.5543.67%41.12%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -3.35%
优势 -0.956%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.80%27.64%27.60%28.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Crewe Alexandra (主队):33.74%;York City (客队):38.65%;平局:27.62%。 对于“York City (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.59。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.55,期望值为-1.45%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -2.83%E -0.983%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 00:24
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:35
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.86%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:44
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:15
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:14
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:05
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 09:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 09:08
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 13:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:04
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.96%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.58%EV -11.50%E -5.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 09:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 12:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:05