StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Crewe Alexandra v York City

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Crewe Alexandra 1–1 York City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Crewe Alexandra (Hemma)

Prognos 33.74%2.96rättvist odds
EV -2.83%
Fördel -0.983%
Kelly -1.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.88

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.23%33.77%33.72%36.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.692.742.8840.82%37.22%36.50%34.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

York City (Borta)

Prognos 38.65%2.59rättvist odds
EV -1.45%
Fördel -0.570%
Kelly -0.938%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.40%38.58%38.69%39.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.292.432.402.5543.67%41.12%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.62%3.62rättvist odds
EV -3.35%
Fördel -0.956%
Kelly -1.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.80%27.64%27.60%28.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Crewe Alexandra (Hemma): 33.74%; York City (Borta): 38.65%; Oavgjort: 27.62%. För York City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.59. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.55, med väntevärdet -1.45%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -2.83%E -0.983%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 00:24
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:35
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.86%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:44
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:15
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:14
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:05
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 09:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 09:08
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 13:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:04
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.96%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.58%EV -11.50%E -5.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 09:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 12:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:05