Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra v York City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Crewe Alexandra 1–1 York City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 33.74%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.983%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.23%33.77%33.72%36.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.692.742.8840.82%37.22%36.50%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

York City (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.65%2.59cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.570%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.40%38.58%38.69%39.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.292.432.402.5543.67%41.12%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%27.64%27.60%28.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Crewe Alexandra (Local) : 33.74% ; York City (Visiteur) : 38.65% ; Match nul : 27.62%. Pour York City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.59. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.55, pour une espérance de -1.45% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -2.83%E -0.983%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 00:24
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:35
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.86%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:44
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:15
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:14
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:05
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 09:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 09:08
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 13:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:04
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.96%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.58%EV -11.50%E -5.02%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 09:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 12:00
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-04 12:05