Idioma:Español
Crewe Alexandra v York City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Predicción 33.74%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.983%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.23%33.77%33.72%36.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.692.742.8840.82%37.22%36.50%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
York City (Visitante)
Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -0.938%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.40%38.58%38.69%39.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.292.432.402.5543.67%41.12%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%27.64%27.60%28.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 33.74%; York City (Visitante): 38.65%; Empate: 27.62%. Para York City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.55, con un valor esperado de -1.45%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -2.83%E -0.983%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.86%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.53%E -1.98%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 09:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.96%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.58%EV -11.50%E -5.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -1.45%E -0.570%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -16.33%E -6.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -17.34%E -7.08%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |