Language:English
Crawley Town v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.557%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%27.89%27.82%31.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.303.5534.72%30.91%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.73%44.63%44.76%46.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.57%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -0.992%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%27.49%27.42%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 27.77%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 44.73%; Draw: 27.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.992%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.992%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.04%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.57%E -7.63%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14% | 2.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |