La scuola delle quote

Crawley Town v Grimsby Town

Inizio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Crawley Town (Casa)

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.400%
Kelly -0.557%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.13%27.89%27.82%31.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.243.303.5534.72%30.91%30.30%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grimsby Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.73%2.24quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.726%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.73%44.63%44.76%46.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.57%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.50%3.64quota equa
EV -0.992%
Vantaggio -0.276%
Kelly -0.382%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.91%27.49%27.42%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.52%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:24
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.992%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:25
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.04%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:24
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:25
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:25
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.57%E -7.63%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:24
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:25
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:24
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:25
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:34
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 10:59
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%2.3%2026-04-06 13:50