Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crawley Town v Grimsby Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.557%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.13%27.89%27.82%31.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.303.5534.72%30.91%30.30%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.73%2.24cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.73%44.63%44.76%46.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.57%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV -0.992%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.382%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.91%27.49%27.42%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Crawley Town (Local) : 27.77% ; Grimsby Town (Visiteur) : 44.73% ; Match nul : 27.50%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -0.992% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:24
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.992%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:25
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.04%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:24
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:25
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:25
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.57%E -7.63%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:24
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:24
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:25
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:34
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 10:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%2.3%2026-04-06 13:50