La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Crawley Town v Grimsby Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crawley Town (Local)
Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.557%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%27.89%27.82%31.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.303.5534.72%30.91%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grimsby Town (Visitante)
Predicción 44.73%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.73%44.63%44.76%46.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.57%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV -0.992%
Ventaja -0.276%
Kelly -0.382%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.91%27.49%27.42%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.52%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.42%E -0.400%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.992%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.04%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.57%E -7.63%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -19.47%E -6.71%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -20.03%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.86%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14% | 2.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |