Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -0.941%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.12%37.12%37.05%38.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.482.6542.55%40.57%40.32%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 34.53%2.90fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.54%34.57%34.65%36.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8239.22%37.27%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%28.31%28.30%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.59%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 37.15%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 34.53%; Draw: 28.32%. For Chesterfield FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 15:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.63%E -0.932%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.74%EV -8.24%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.91% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.96% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |