L’École des cotes

Chesterfield FC v Grimsby Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Chesterfield FC 2–1 Grimsby Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 37.15%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.586%
Kelly -0.941%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.12%37.12%37.05%38.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.462.482.6542.55%40.57%40.32%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.53%2.90cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.932%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.54%34.57%34.65%36.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.682.702.8239.22%37.27%37.04%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%28.31%28.30%29.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.59%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:01
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 13:59
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.63%E -0.932%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:01
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.74%EV -8.24%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:29
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 18:30
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.96%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20