La escuela de los momios

Chesterfield FC v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Chesterfield FC 2–1 Grimsby Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Predicción 37.15%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.586%
Kelly -0.941%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.12%37.12%37.05%38.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.462.482.6542.55%40.57%40.32%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 34.53%2.90momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.54%34.57%34.65%36.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.682.702.8239.22%37.27%37.04%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%28.31%28.30%29.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.59%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:01
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 13:59
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.63%E -0.932%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:01
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.74%EV -8.24%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:29
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 18:30
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.96%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20