مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chesterfield FC v Grimsby Town

البداية: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chesterfield FC 2–1 Grimsby Town

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chesterfield FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.15%2.69السعر العادل
EV -1.55%
الأفضلية -0.586%
Kelly -0.941%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.12%37.12%37.05%38.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.462.482.6542.55%40.57%40.32%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grimsby Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.53%2.90السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -0.932%
Kelly -1.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.54%34.57%34.65%36.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.682.702.8239.22%37.27%37.04%35.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.32%3.53السعر العادل
EV -3.71%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.40%28.31%28.30%29.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.59%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:01
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 13:59
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.63%E -0.932%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:01
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.74%EV -8.24%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:29
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 18:30
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.96%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20