La scuola delle quote

Chesterfield FC v Grimsby Town

Inizio: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Finale: Chesterfield FC 2–1 Grimsby Town

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Casa)

Previsione 37.15%2.69quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.586%
Kelly -0.941%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.12%37.12%37.05%38.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.462.482.6542.55%40.57%40.32%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grimsby Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.53%2.90quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.932%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.54%34.57%34.65%36.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.682.702.8239.22%37.27%37.04%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.32%3.53quota equa
EV -3.71%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%28.31%28.30%29.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.59%30.30%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -1.55%E -0.586%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 15:01
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 13:59
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.63%E -0.932%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:01
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.87%E -3.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -5.74%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.74%EV -8.24%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:29
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 18:30
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:01
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.70%E -5.40%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.96%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20