Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 59.88%1.67fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -7.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.21%59.85%59.74%61.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.6066.67%64.26%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 16.58%6.03fair odd
EV +0.476%
Edge +0.079%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.57%16.59%16.70%18.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.435.506.0620.41%18.43%18.18%16.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.54%4.25fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.584%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%23.56%23.56%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.943.954.3329.41%25.41%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 59.88%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 16.58%; Draw: 23.54%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +1.94%E +0.449%K +0.584%G +0.011% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.69%EV +0.476%E +0.079%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -2.53%E -0.611%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.35%E -0.226%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.95%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.49%E -0.964%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.61%EV -0.684%E -0.114%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.04%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -19.95%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-03 13:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |