L’École des cotes

Chesterfield FC v Cheltenham Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 59.88%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -7.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.21%59.85%59.74%61.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.571.6066.67%64.26%63.69%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cheltenham Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.58%6.03cote équitable
EV +0.476%
Avantage +0.079%
Kelly +0.094%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.57%16.59%16.70%18.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.435.506.0620.41%18.43%18.18%16.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV +1.94%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +0.584%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%23.56%23.56%25.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.943.954.3329.41%25.41%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +1.94%E +0.449%K +0.584%G +0.011%7.9%2026-04-03 13:39
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.69%EV +0.476%E +0.079%K +0.094%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -2.53%E -0.611%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:35
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.35%E -0.226%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:34
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:35
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.95%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.49%E -0.964%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.61%EV -0.684%E -0.114%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.04%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -19.95%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-03 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-03 13:55