StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chesterfield FC v Cheltenham Town

Matchstart: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chesterfield FC (Hemma)

Prognos 59.88%1.67rättvist odds
EV -4.20%
Fördel -2.62%
Kelly -7.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.21%59.85%59.74%61.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.561.571.6066.67%64.26%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cheltenham Town (Borta)

Prognos 16.58%6.03rättvist odds
EV +0.476%
Fördel +0.079%
Kelly +0.094%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.57%16.59%16.70%18.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.905.435.506.0620.41%18.43%18.18%16.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.54%4.25rättvist odds
EV +1.94%
Fördel +0.449%
Kelly +0.584%
Tillväxt +0.011%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.40%23.56%23.56%25.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.943.954.3329.41%25.41%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Chesterfield FC (Hemma): 59.88%; Cheltenham Town (Borta): 16.58%; Oavgjort: 23.54%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.25. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.33, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +1.94%E +0.449%K +0.584%G +0.011%7.9%2026-04-03 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.69%EV +0.476%E +0.079%K +0.094%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -2.53%E -0.611%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.35%E -0.226%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:35
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.95%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.49%E -0.964%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.61%EV -0.684%E -0.114%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.04%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -19.95%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-03 13:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-03 13:55