A Escola das Odds

Chesterfield FC v Cheltenham Town

Início: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Previsão 59.88%1.67odd justa
EV -4.20%
Vantagem -2.62%
Kelly -7.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.21%59.85%59.74%61.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.571.6066.67%64.26%63.69%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Previsão 16.58%6.03odd justa
EV +0.476%
Vantagem +0.079%
Kelly +0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.57%16.59%16.70%18.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.435.506.0620.41%18.43%18.18%16.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.54%4.25odd justa
EV +1.94%
Vantagem +0.449%
Kelly +0.584%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.40%23.56%23.56%25.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.943.954.3329.41%25.41%25.32%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +1.94%E +0.449%K +0.584%G +0.011%7.9%2026-04-03 13:39
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.69%EV +0.476%E +0.079%K +0.094%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -2.53%E -0.611%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.518%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.10%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.18%E -0.369%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:35
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -18.76%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.35%E -0.226%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:34
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:35
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.59%E -4.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.95%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -5.49%E -0.964%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.61%EV -0.684%E -0.114%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.04%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.47%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -19.95%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-03 13:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-03 13:55