Language:English
Barrow v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barrow (Local)
Prediction 32.26%3.10fair odd
EV +0.012%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%32.25%32.17%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.833.1037.04%35.06%35.27%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.31%39.68%39.64%41.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.352.342.4547.62%42.49%42.64%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -0.503%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.198%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%28.07%28.20%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5433.33%30.79%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barrow (Local): 32.26%; Newport County (Visit): 39.63%; Draw: 28.11%. For Barrow (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.0996. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.1000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.012%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 12:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 03:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -16.77%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -7.41%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.21%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.64%E -4.23%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 03:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -0.503%E -0.142%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -9.99%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |