مدرسة الاحتمالات

Barrow v Newport County

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Barrow 1–2 Newport County

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Barrow (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.26%3.10السعر العادل
EV +0.012%
الأفضلية +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.02%32.25%32.17%33.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.852.833.1037.04%35.06%35.27%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Newport County (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.63%2.52السعر العادل
EV -2.90%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.31%39.68%39.64%41.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.352.342.4547.62%42.49%42.64%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.11%3.56السعر العادل
EV -0.503%
الأفضلية -0.142%
Kelly -0.198%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.81%28.07%28.20%29.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.253.253.5433.33%30.79%30.77%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:44
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:11
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 03:24
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:14
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:06
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 03:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:05
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -16.77%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 10:45
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -7.41%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.21%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:05
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.64%E -4.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 03:30
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -0.503%E -0.142%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:41
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -9.99%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:40
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:54
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-05-02 13:50