Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barrow v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barrow 1–2 Newport County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barrow (Local)

Prévision 32.26%3.10cote équitable
EV +0.012%
Avantage +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%32.25%32.17%33.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.852.833.1037.04%35.06%35.27%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.63%2.52cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.31%39.68%39.64%41.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.352.342.4547.62%42.49%42.64%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.11%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.503%
Avantage -0.142%
Kelly -0.198%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%28.07%28.20%29.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5433.33%30.79%30.77%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barrow (Local) : 32.26% ; Newport County (Visiteur) : 39.63% ; Match nul : 28.11%. Pour Barrow (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.0996. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.1000, soit une espérance positive de +0.012%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:44
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:11
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 03:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:14
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:06
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 03:50
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:05
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -16.77%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -7.41%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.21%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:05
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.64%E -4.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 03:30
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -0.503%E -0.142%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:41
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -9.99%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-05-02 13:50