La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Barrow v Newport County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barrow (Local)
Predicción 32.26%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.012%
Ventaja +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%32.25%32.17%33.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.833.1037.04%35.06%35.27%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newport County (Visitante)
Predicción 39.63%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.31%39.68%39.64%41.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.352.342.4547.62%42.49%42.64%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.11%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.503%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%28.07%28.20%29.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5433.33%30.79%30.77%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:44 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 12:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 03:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| William Hill | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -16.77%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -7.41%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.21%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.64%E -4.23%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 03:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -0.503%E -0.142%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:41 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -9.99%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |