La scuola delle quote

Barrow v Newport County

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Barrow 1–2 Newport County

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barrow (Casa)

Previsione 32.26%3.10quota equa
EV +0.012%
Vantaggio +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.02%32.25%32.17%33.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.852.833.1037.04%35.06%35.27%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newport County (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.63%2.52quota equa
EV -2.90%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.31%39.68%39.64%41.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.352.342.4547.62%42.49%42.64%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.11%3.56quota equa
EV -0.503%
Vantaggio -0.142%
Kelly -0.198%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.81%28.07%28.20%29.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.253.5433.33%30.79%30.77%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:44
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:10
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:11
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 03:24
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:14
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:06
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 03:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:05
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -16.77%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 10:45
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -7.41%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.21%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:05
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.64%E -4.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 03:30
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -0.503%E -0.142%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:41
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.67%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -9.99%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:40
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -10.31%E -3.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.03%E -0.879%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:54
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.89%E -4.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-05-02 13:50