Language:English
Stockport County FC v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stockport County FC (Local)
Prediction 66.14%1.51fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.57%66.41%65.97%69.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.52%71.17%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 12.84%7.79fair odd
EV +7.84%
Edge +0.934%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 8.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.81%12.79%12.92%14.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.117.008.4016.00%14.07%14.29%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.02%4.76fair odd
EV +0.892%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.20%20.80%21.11%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.414.384.8023.81%22.65%22.86%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 66.14%; Port Vale (Visit): 12.84%; Draw: 21.02%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.79. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.86%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.81%EV +7.84%E +0.934%K +1.06%G +0.083% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -1.21%E -0.257%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.34%EV -8.06%E -5.80%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +3.35%E +0.416%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.03%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.31%E -0.720%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.78%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.55%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 63.82% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.25% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |