La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Stockport County FC v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stockport County FC (Local)
Predicción 66.14%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -7.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.57%66.41%65.97%69.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.52%71.17%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 12.84%7.79momio equitativo
EV +7.84%
Ventaja +0.934%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.083%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.81%12.79%12.92%14.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.117.008.4016.00%14.07%14.29%11.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.02%4.76momio equitativo
EV +0.892%
Ventaja +0.186%
Kelly +0.235%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.20%20.80%21.11%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.414.384.8023.81%22.65%22.86%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.86%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.81%EV +7.84%E +0.934%K +1.06%G +0.083% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -1.21%E -0.257%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.34%EV -8.06%E -5.80%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +3.35%E +0.416%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.03%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 07:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.31%E -0.720%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 08:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.78%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.55%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 63.82% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.25% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |