La scuola delle quote

Stockport County FC v Port Vale

Inizio: 2026-04-28 18:45 UTC

Finale: Stockport County FC 1–2 Port Vale

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stockport County FC (Casa)

Previsione 66.14%1.51quota equa
EV -3.43%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -7.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.57%66.41%65.97%69.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.52%71.17%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Port Vale (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.84%7.79quota equa
EV +7.84%
Vantaggio +0.934%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.083%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.81%12.79%12.92%14.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.117.008.4016.00%14.07%14.29%11.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.02%4.76quota equa
EV +0.892%
Vantaggio +0.186%
Kelly +0.235%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.20%20.80%21.11%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.414.384.8023.81%22.65%22.86%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.86%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.81%EV +7.84%E +0.934%K +1.06%G +0.083%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -1.21%E -0.257%K -0.327%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 21:15
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.34%EV -8.06%E -5.80%K -20.67%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +3.35%E +0.416%K +0.475%G +0.016%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.03%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.31%E -0.720%K -0.920%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:05
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:55
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:55
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:54
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:09
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.78%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:45
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 07:54
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:54
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:54
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 08:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.55%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:54
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 08:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 63.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%16.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:15