L’École des cotes

Stockport County FC v Port Vale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-28 18:45 UTC

Score final : Stockport County FC 1–2 Port Vale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prévision 66.14%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -7.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.57%66.41%65.97%69.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.52%71.17%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.84%7.79cote équitable
EV +7.84%
Avantage +0.934%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 8.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.81%12.79%12.92%14.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.117.008.4016.00%14.07%14.29%11.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.02%4.76cote équitable
EV +0.892%
Avantage +0.186%
Kelly +0.235%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.20%20.80%21.11%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.414.384.8023.81%22.65%22.86%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.86%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.81%EV +7.84%E +0.934%K +1.06%G +0.083%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -1.21%E -0.257%K -0.327%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 21:15
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.34%EV -8.06%E -5.80%K -20.67%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +3.35%E +0.416%K +0.475%G +0.016%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.03%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.31%E -0.720%K -0.920%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:05
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:55
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:55
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:54
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:09
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.78%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:45
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 07:54
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:54
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:54
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 08:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.55%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:54
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 08:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 63.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%16.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:15