مدرسة الاحتمالات

Stockport County FC v Port Vale

البداية: 2026-04-28 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Stockport County FC 1–2 Port Vale

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

38 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Stockport County FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.14%1.51السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -2.35%
Kelly -7.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.57%66.41%65.97%69.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.52%71.17%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Port Vale (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.84%7.79السعر العادل
EV +7.84%
الأفضلية +0.934%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.083%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.81%12.79%12.92%14.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.257.117.008.4016.00%14.07%14.29%11.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.02%4.76السعر العادل
EV +0.892%
الأفضلية +0.186%
Kelly +0.235%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.20%20.80%21.11%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.414.384.8023.81%22.65%22.86%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.86%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.81%EV +7.84%E +0.934%K +1.06%G +0.083%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -1.21%E -0.257%K -0.327%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 21:15
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.34%EV -8.06%E -5.80%K -20.67%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +3.35%E +0.416%K +0.475%G +0.016%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.03%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV +0.892%E +0.186%K +0.235%G +0.002%8.5%2026-04-10 07:35
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -12.03%E -9.05%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +2.71%E +0.338%K +0.387%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.31%E -0.720%K -0.920%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -14.01%E -10.78%K -46.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -3.71%E -0.495%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.92%E -0.955%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:05
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:55
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:55
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.52%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:54
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:09
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.78%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:45
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -10.13%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 07:54
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:54
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -5.42%E -3.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:54
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -6.08%E -4.28%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.62%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:54
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.34%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 08:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.40%E -5.29%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.55%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:54
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -3.43%E -2.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -17.84%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.67%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.05%E -7.39%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -19.76%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.72%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 08:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 63.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%16.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-21 15:15