Language:English
Port Vale v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 34.24%2.92fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.13%34.24%34.19%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.712.702.8138.17%36.87%37.04%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.48%37.44%38.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.61%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%28.29%28.37%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.4334.72%30.51%30.30%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 34.24%; Barnsley (Visit): 37.46%; Draw: 28.31%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.43, with an expected value of -2.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.23%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 18:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -9.96%E -3.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -18.48%E -6.42%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |