La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Barnsley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 34.24%2.92momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.13%34.24%34.19%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.712.702.8138.17%36.87%37.04%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barnsley (Visitante)
Predicción 37.46%2.67momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%37.48%37.44%38.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.61%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.849%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.43%28.29%28.37%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.4334.72%30.51%30.30%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.23%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 18:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -9.96%E -3.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -18.48%E -6.42%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |